1. Opinions with मलाई लाग्छ (I think/it seems to me that…)
मलाई लाग्छ (I think/it seems to me that…)… marks an experiencer in मलाई and introduces an impression. …भन्ने लाग्छ (it seems/thinks that…, following the content) can frame the content with भन्ने; it need not report spoken words literally.
2. हो, होला and हुन सक्छ (may be; can be)
यो ठीक हो (this is correct) asserts correctness; यो ठीक होला (this is probably correct) supposes it; यो ठीक हुन सक्छ (this may be correct) allows the possibility. होला and हुन सक्छ (may be; can be) do not encode fixed numerical probabilities.
3. Supposition about completion
उहाँ जानुभएको होला (he/she has probably gone) supposes that the person has gone. It combines respectful perfect -नुभएको with होला. Removing the modal and saying जानुभयो instead reports the event.
4. Obligation versus inference
जानु पर्छ (need to go) expresses obligation; गएको हुनु पर्छ (must have gone) an inference that someone must have gone. Distinguish required -नु action from inferred -एको हुनु (being in a completed state, part of a compound) completion.
5. Scope of negation
नआएको होला (probably has not come) supposes non-arrival; आउन सक्नुहुन्न (cannot come, respectful) expresses inability to come; आउनुभएको छैन (has not come, respectful) states non-arrival. Preserve both the scope of negation and the presence/absence of supposition.
पर्छ has different roles in obligation and deduction.